Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona St.
Pac-12
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#65
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#86
Pace68.9#108
Improvement-2.0#261

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#65
Improvement-1.9#280

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#65
Improvement-0.1#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 326   Chicago St. W 86-50 97%     1 - 0 +21.7 -7.2 -7.2
  Nov 17, 2014 330   Bethune-Cookman W 49-39 97%     2 - 0 -5.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Nov 20, 2014 238   Loyola Marymount W 68-44 91%     3 - 0 +16.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 24, 2014 31   Maryland L 73-78 35%     3 - 1 +6.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Nov 25, 2014 58   Alabama L 71-76 47%     3 - 2 +3.1 +4.1 +4.1
  Nov 29, 2014 183   Colgate W 78-71 86%     4 - 2 +2.9 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 03, 2014 97   UNLV W 77-55 71%     5 - 2 +23.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Dec 06, 2014 53   @ Texas A&M L 71-72 32%     5 - 3 +11.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Dec 13, 2014 98   Pepperdine W 81-74 71%     6 - 3 +8.5 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 16, 2014 90   @ Marquette L 71-78 48%     6 - 4 +0.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Dec 20, 2014 199   Lehigh L 81-84 3OT 87%     6 - 5 -7.8 -2.4 -2.4
  Dec 23, 2014 190   Detroit Mercy W 93-54 86%     7 - 5 +34.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Dec 28, 2014 94   Harvard W 56-46 70%     8 - 5 +11.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Jan 04, 2015 2   @ Arizona L 49-73 6%     8 - 6 0 - 1 +1.1 +12.6 +12.6
  Jan 08, 2015 96   @ Oregon St. L 47-55 50%     8 - 7 0 - 2 -0.7 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 10, 2015 47   @ Oregon L 56-59 31%     8 - 8 0 - 3 +9.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Jan 15, 2015 8   Utah L 59-76 25%     8 - 9 0 - 4 -2.5 +7.2 +7.2
  Jan 17, 2015 83   Colorado W 78-72 67%     9 - 9 1 - 4 +8.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 22, 2015 108   @ California W 79-44 53%     10 - 9 2 - 4 +41.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 24, 2015 50   @ Stanford L 70-89 32%     10 - 10 2 - 5 -6.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Jan 28, 2015 96   Oregon St. W 73-55 71%     11 - 10 3 - 5 +19.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 30, 2015 47   Oregon L 67-68 OT 53%     11 - 11 3 - 6 +5.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 07, 2015 2   Arizona W 81-78 13%     12 - 11 4 - 6 +22.4 +9.7 +9.7
  Feb 13, 2015 167   @ Washington St. L 71-74 67%     12 - 12 4 - 7 -0.3 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 15, 2015 116   @ Washington W 78-68 54%     13 - 12 5 - 7 +16.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2015 40   UCLA W 68-66 50%     14 - 12 6 - 7 +9.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 22, 2015 142   USC W 64-59 79%     15 - 12 7 - 7 +3.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 26, 2015 8   @ Utah L 41-83 12%     15 - 13 7 - 8 -21.7 +10.1 +10.1
  Mar 01, 2015 83   @ Colorado L 81-87 45%     15 - 14 7 - 9 +2.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Mar 05, 2015 50   Stanford W 67-62 54%     16 - 14 8 - 9 +11.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 07, 2015 108   California W 74-70 73%     17 - 14 9 - 9 +4.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 11, 2015 142   USC L 64-67 71%     17 - 15 -1.4 +0.8 +0.8
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.2%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.2%